What Maple Leafs need to happen in NHL Draft lottery to keep 1st-round pick from Bruin

The have reached one of the most important moments of their offseason. It's NHL Draft lottery night on Tuesday, and the Leafs are at risk of losing their first-round pick to the . The selection was involved in the 2025 trade that brought Brandon Carlo to Toronto and sent Fraser Minten to Boston, along with this pick that had some protection on it. Now comes the night when the NHL learns which team will get to make the selection. Toronto wasn't expected to be this bad in 2025-26, which raises the stakes. The Bruins have a chance at a very prime spot on the board in addition to their own pick later on. MORE: What do Maple Leafs need to happen in lottery? The Maple Leafs need to end up with a top-five pick. The first-rounder they traded is top-five protected, which means that's the Noah Chadwick Jersey only area of the board that Toronto keeps its own pick. If it falls outside the top-five, Boston gets the selection. The Maple Leafs have the fifth-best lottery odds, which means their pick can fall no lower than seventh. They have an 8.5% chance of winning the No. 1 overall pick. There's an 8.6% chance the Leafs get the second pick, and a le s than half a percent chance of the third pick. Toronto has a 24.5% chance of the No. 5 pick. MORE: The danger zone is the 44.0% chance of landing at No. 6, and the 14.2% chance of ending up at No. 7. In those approximately 58.2% of scenarios, the Leafs give their pick to the Bruins. It's worth noting: If the Leafs convey their pick this year, they keep their 2027 first-rounder. If the Leafs keep their pick this year, Boston gets Toronto's 2027 first-rounder with no protections. But in this stacked draft cla s, the Maple Leafs would surely like to keep their pick. More NHL news: Ryan Reaves Jersey